Farizqi, Annas Aditya (2023) Model Dinamika Sistem Tentang Implikasi Perubahan Iklim Pada Kegiatan Operasi Kapal Pelayaran Rakyat. Other thesis, Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember.
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Abstract
Perubahan iklim memiliki banyak implikasi, antara lain meningkatnya suhu rata-rata global,berubahnya curah hujan, cuaca ekstrem dan naiknya permukaan air laut. Industri maritim khususnya Angkutan Laut Pelayaran Rakyat merupakan salah satu sektor yang terkena dampak akibat perubahan iklim. Penelitian ini dilakukan untuk lebih memahami bahwa kondisi pelayaran makin tidak ramah serta berpotensi membahayakan bagi kapal, kru kapal, muatan dan diantaranya risiko kecelakaan kapal meningkat. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mensimulasikan kegiatan operasional kapal dengan membuat beberapa model skenario. Metode yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah dengan pendekatan dinamika sistem. Metode simulasi dinamika sistem dengan bantuan perangkat lunak Powersim Studio digunakan untuk mengetahui dampak cuaca buruk pada Angkutan Laut Pelayaran Rakyat dengan memperhatikan beberapa variabel seperti kecepatan bongkar muat, kecepatan kapal saat beroperasi serta penundaan jadwal kapal. Dengan menggunakan pendekatan dinamika sistem, dapat mengetahui frekuensi kapal dan muatan terangkut dalam setahun. Dari hasil simulasi, didapatkan beberapa skenario operasional kapal dalam waktu setahun dengan beberapa kondisi yaitu pada Skenario 1 frekuensi kapal 7 Roundtrip dan kargo terangkut 11.200 ton. Skenario 2 frekuensi kapal 6 Roundtrip dan kargo terangkut 10.400 ton. Skenario 3 frekuensi kapal 6 Roundtrip dan kargo terangkut 9.600 ton. Skenario 4 frekuensi kapal 5 Roundtrip an kargo terangkut 8.000 ton. Skenario 5 frekuensi kapal 4 Roundtrip dan kargo terangkut 6.400 ton. Skenario 6 frekuensi kapal 5 Roundtrip dan kargo terangkut 8.123 ton.
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Climate change has many implications, including increasing global average temperatures, changing rainfall, extreme weather and rising sea levels. The maritime industry, especially local shipping, is one of the sectors affected by climate change. This research was conducted to better understand that shipping conditions are increasingly unfriendly and potentially dangerous for ships, crew, cargo and among others, the risk of ship accidents increases. This research focuses on simulating ship operations by creating several scenario models. The method used in this research is the system dynamics approach. The system dynamics simulation method with the help of Powersim Studio software is used to determine the impact of bad weather on local shipping by considering several variables such as loading and unloading speed, ship speed while operating and ship schedule delays. By using a system dynamics approach, it can determine the frequency of ships and cargo transported in a year. From the simulation results, several ship operational scenarios are obtained within a year with several conditions, namely in Scenario 1 the frequency of ships is 7 Roundtrip and the cargo carried is 11,200 tons. Scenario 2 ship frequency 6 Roundtrip and cargo carried 10,400 tons. Scenario 3 ship frequency 6 Roundtrip and cargo carried 9,600 tons. Scenario 4 ship frequency 5 Roundtrip and cargo carried 8,000 tons. Scenario 5 ship frequency 4 Roundtrip and cargo carried 6,400 tons. Scenario 6 ship frequency 5 Roundtrip and cargo carried 8,123 tons.
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