Ocniza, Dony (2023) Pengambilan Keputusan Metode Hibridisasi PLTD Selat Nasik Kepulauan Belitung Menggunakan AHP-VIKOR. Masters thesis, Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember.
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Abstract
PLTD (Pembangkit Listrik Tenaga Diesel) menjadi pembangkit listrik yang umum digunakan pada daerah 3T (Terdepan, Terluar dan Tertinggal) seperti Selat Nasik yang meskipun sedikit jumlah penduduknya tapi tetap memerlukan ketersediaan listrik untuk pembangunan ekonominya. Saat ini PLTD tersebut telah obsolete dan kebijakan pemerintah dalam program NZE (Net Zero Emission) memaksa PLTD untuk beralih dari diesel fuel ke renewables energy. Hal ini membuat urgensi pemilihan skenario metode hibridisasi PLTD dengan renewables energy resources yang tersedia perlu dilakukan. Pemilihan skenario metode hibridisasi PLTD atau HRES (Hybridization Renewable Energy System) yang tepat tidak hanya membutuhkan analisis kriteria techno-economic yang baik namun masih banyak kriteria lainnya seperti ketersediaan lahan, ketersediaan sumber energi terbarukan dan sebagainya. Mempertimbangkan kompleksitas kriteria pemilihan metode hibridisasi tersebut maka pengambilan keputusan multi kriteria (MCDM) adalah metode yang biasa digunakan. Software HOMER digunakan sebagai dasar melakukan analisis techno-economic dari berbagai skenario metode hibridisasi, kemudian FGD expert dilakukan untuk menentukan kriteria apa saja yang penting dalam pemilihan skenario. Pembobotan kriteria menggunakan AHP. Bobot kriteria yang diperoleh kemudian digunakan oleh expert untuk menilai beberapa skenario metode hibridisasi atau HRES PLTD dan ditetapkan rankingnya dengan menggunakan VIKOR. Pada penelitian ini didapatkan 17 sub-kriteria yang digolongkan dalam 3 kriteria, yaitu : Technical and Design Oriented Criteria (Lifespan of HRES, Energy Resources Sustainability dan Potential Power Generation), Financial Oriented Criteria (CAPEX, O&M Cost, NPV, LCOE dan Diesel Fuel Consumption) dan Socio-economic and Environment Oriented Criteria (GHG Emission, Land Acquisition, Effect on ecosystem (Animal and Nature Protection), Force Majeur, Noise Pollution, Prospective Jobs and Economic Growth dan Political and Regulatory aspect, Tingkat Kesadaran Masyarakat serta Tradisi dan Cagar Budaya).Terpilih 3 sub-kriteria dengan bobot terbesar yaitu : Energy Resources Sustainability (bobot 0,408), LCOE (bobot 0,096) dan CAPEX (bobot 0,087). Skenario 1 (S1 (PLTD, PLTS,Baterai)) terpilih sebagai peringkat pertama (skenario terbaik) diikuti S2 (PLTS, Baterai), S3 (PLTB, PLTS, Baterai) dan S4 (PLTD, PLTB, Baterai)
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Diesel Power Plants have become commonly used power plants in Frontier, Outermost, and Underdeveloped regions such as Selat Nasik, where even though the population is small, they still require electricity availability for their economic development. Currently, these Diesel Power Plants have become obsolete, and the government's policy under the NZE (Net Zero Emission) program compels Diesel Power Plant to transition from diesel fuel to renewable energy. This situation upscaling the urgency of selecting hybridization method scenarios with available renewable energy resources. The selection of best hybridization methods scenario of Diesel Power Plant or HRES (Hybridization Renewable Energy System) requires not only a good analysis of techno-economic criteria but also many other criteria such as land availability, energy sources availability, and so on. Considering the complexity of criteria involved in the selection of hybridization methods, Multi-Criteria Decision Making (MCDM) is commonly used. The HOMER software was used as the basis for conducting techno-economic analysis of various hybridization scenarios that would be applied. Then, an FGD expert was conducted to determine the important criteria for selecting hybridization method scenarios. The criteria were weighted using the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP). The obtained criteria weights later used by experts to assess several hybridization scenario options, and their rankings were determined using VIKOR. In this research, 17 sub-criteria were identified and categorized into 3 criteria: Technical and Design-Oriented Criteria (Lifespan of HRES, Energy Resources Sustainability, and Potential Power Generation), Financial-Oriented Criteria (CAPEX, O&M Cost, NPV, LCOE, and Diesel Fuel Consumption), and Socio-economic and Environment-Oriented Criteria (GHG Emission, Land Acquisition, Effect on Ecosystem (Animal and Nature Protection), Force Majeure, Noise Pollution, Prospective Jobs and Economic Growth, Political and Regulatory Aspect, Public Awareness Level, and Tradition and Cultural Heritage). Top three sub-criteria with the highest weights were selected: Energy Resources Sustainability (weight 0.408), LCOE (weight 0.096), and CAPEX (weight 0.087). Scenario 1 (S1 (Diesel Power Plant, PV, Battery)) was chosen as the first-rank scenario (the best scenario) followed by S2 (PV, Battery), S3 (Wind Turbine, PV, Battery), and S4 (Diesel Power Plant, Wind Turbine, Battery).
| Item Type: | Thesis (Masters) |
|---|---|
| Uncontrolled Keywords: | AHP-VIKOR, HRES (Hybrid Renewables Energy System), MCDM (Multi Criteria Decision Making) |
| Subjects: | H Social Sciences > HD Industries. Land use. Labor > HD30.23 Decision making. Business requirements analysis. |
| Divisions: | Interdisciplinary School of Management and Technology (SIMT) > 61101-Master of Technology Management (MMT) |
| Depositing User: | Dony Ocniza |
| Date Deposited: | 22 Aug 2023 07:43 |
| Last Modified: | 22 Aug 2023 07:43 |
| URI: | http://repository.its.ac.id/id/eprint/104161 |
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