Pemodelan PDRB Sektor Pariwisata Di Jawa Timur Menggunakan Regresi Nonparametrik Spline

Haq, Fauziah Nurul (2014) Pemodelan PDRB Sektor Pariwisata Di Jawa Timur Menggunakan Regresi Nonparametrik Spline. Diploma thesis, Insititut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember.

Text 1311030007_Non_Degree.pdf Download (876kB)

Abstract

Pariwisata merupakan sektor utama pendorong perekonomian di suatu daerah. Menurut Bank Indonesia (2012) sektor pariwisata merupakan sektor utama pendorong pertumbuhan ekonomi Jawa Timur. Menurut publikasi BPS (2013), Provinsi Jawa Timur memiliki jumlah kunjungan wisatawan paling banyak dibanding provinsi lain yaitu sebanyak 15.541 orang/hari dari total 107.045orang/hari yang mengunjungi Indonesia. Penelitian ini dilakukan untuk mengetahui faktor-faktor yang diduga mempengaruhi PDRB sektor pariwisata Jawa Timur menggunakan regresi nonparametrik Spline. Hasil pemodelan regresi nonparametrik Spline diperoleh model terbaik yang menghasilkan R 2 sebesar 71,86%. Faktor-faktor yang berpengaruh signifikan terhadap PDRB sektor pariwisata Jawa Timur adalah persentase wisatawan yang berkunjung, persentase objek wisata, pendapatan perkapita, persentase biro wisata, dan persentase hotel.
=============================================================================================================================
Tourism is a major driver of economic sectors in a region. According to Bank Indonesia's (2012) sector of the tourism sector is a major driver of economic growth in East Java. According to the publication BPS (2013), East Java province has the most number of tourist arrivals compared to other provinces as many as 15 541 people / day of total 107.045orang/hari who visited Indonesia. This study was conducted to determine the factors thought to affect the GDP of East Java tourism sector using nonparametric regression spline. Modeling results obtained spline nonparametric regression models that produce the best R 2 of 71,86%. The factors that significantly influence the GDP of East Java tourism sector is percentage of travelers who visited, pecentage of attractions, income per capita, percentage of toursm traveler, and percentage of the hotel.

Item Type:	Thesis (Diploma)
Additional Information:	RSSt 511.34 Haq p-1, 2014
Uncontrolled Keywords:	PDRB Pariwisata, Regresi Nonparametrik Spline, Titik Knot, GCV, R2, GDP of the tourism sector, Nonparametric Regression Spline, Point Knot
Subjects:	Q Science > QA Mathematics > QA278.2 Regression Analysis. Logistic regression
Divisions:	Faculty of Mathematics, Computation, and Data Science > Statistics > 49201-(S1) Undergraduate Thesis
Depositing User:	Mr. Marsudiyana -
Date Deposited:	03 Jan 2024 07:37
Last Modified:	03 Jan 2024 07:37
URI:	http://repository.its.ac.id/id/eprint/105352

Actions (login required)

View Item