Model Simulasi Kejadian Kontinyu Untuk Mengevaluasi Keekonomian Produksi dari Pabrik Hidrogen Hijau Berbasis Solar PV

Hafizh, Muhammad Syamsuddin (2025) Model Simulasi Kejadian Kontinyu Untuk Mengevaluasi Keekonomian Produksi dari Pabrik Hidrogen Hijau Berbasis Solar PV. Other thesis, Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember.

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Abstract

Green Hydrogen merupakan salah satu energy carrier ramah lingkungan yang diproduksi melalui proses elektrolisis dengan bahan baku Energi Baru Terbarukan (EBT) seperti uap, air, angin, panas matahari, hingga panas bumi. Saat ini, tantangan pengembangan Green Hydrogen di Indonesia adalah Levelized Cost of Hydrogen (LCOH) yang relatif tinggi. Penelitian ini akan mengembangkan model simulasi kejadian kontinyu menggunakan perangkat lunak Anylogic guna menentukan skenario alternatif produksi dengan mempertimbangkan analisis keekonomian. Anylogic digunakan untuk mensimulasikan proses produksi mulai dari bahan baku hingga penyimpanan Green Hydrogen guna mengetahui total produksi Green Hydrogen setiap tahunnya. Beberapa skenario kapasitas produksi dilakukan dengan menambahkan luas area photovoltaic dan unit electrolyzer. Berdasarkan hasil penelitian, didapatkan bahwa skenario alternatif terbaik mampu menghasilkan LCOH terendah yaitu USD 7.75/kg H_2 dengan kapasitas produksi Green Hydrogen mencapai 34.65 ton per tahun melalui skenario penambahan 2 strings photovoltaic dan 1 unit electrolyzer. Selain itu, analisis keekonomian menunjukkan bahwa pembangunan Green Hydrogen Plant (GHP) tersebut dinyatakan layak untuk dijalankan dengan profit margin 5% yang mampu menghasilkan payback period selama 4 tahun dengan Net Present Value (NPV) Rp1,962,112,809, Profitability Index sebesar 2.21, Internal Rate of Return (IRR) sebesar 22.62% dan Return on Investment (ROI) sebesar 7.55%.
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Green Hydrogen is one of zero emissions energy carriers produced through electrolysis process with the feedstocks of New Renewable Energy (NRE) such as steam, water, wind, photovoltaic, and geothermal. Nowadays, roadmap to develop Green Hydrogen in Indonesia has challenge in Levelized Cost of Hydrogen (LCOH), which is relatively high. This research will develop continuous event simulation models using Anylogic software to analyze alternative production scenarios by considering economic analysis. Anylogic is used to simulate the Green Hydrogen production process from raw materials until storage in order to determine the total Green Hydrogen production each year. Several production capacity scenarios were evaluated by expanding the photovoltaic (PV) area and increasing the number of electrolyzer units. Based on the research findings, the best alternative scenario achieved the lowest Levelized Cost of Hydrogen (LCOH) at USD 7.75 per kilogram of hydrogen, with a Green Hydrogen production capacity of 34.65 tons per year. This scenario involved the addition of 2 photovoltaic strings and 1 electrolyzer unit. Furthermore, the economic analysis indicated that the establishment of the Green Hydrogen Plant (GHP) is financially feasible with a projected profit margin of 5%, the results are payback period of 4 years and a Net Present Value (NPV) of IDR 1,962,112,809. The project also demonstrated strong financial performance with Profitability Index of 2.21, Internal Rate of Return (IRR) of 22.62%, and Return on Investment (ROI) of 7.55%.

Item Type: Thesis (Other)
Uncontrolled Keywords: Hidrogen Hijau, Elektrolisis, Simulasi Kejadian Kontinyu, Anylogic, Analisis Ekonomi, Green Hydrogen, Electrolysis, Continuous Event Simulation, Anylogic, Economic Analysis
Subjects: Q Science > QA Mathematics > QA76.9 Computer algorithms. Virtual Reality. Computer simulation.
Divisions: Faculty of Industrial Technology and Systems Engineering (INDSYS) > Industrial Engineering > 26201-(S1) Undergraduate Thesis
Depositing User: Muhammad Syamsuddin Hafizh
Date Deposited: 23 Jul 2025 03:29
Last Modified: 23 Jul 2025 03:29
URI: http://repository.its.ac.id/id/eprint/120713

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