Haq, Muhammad Firas Danial Amril (2025) Analisis Determinan Ekspor Bahan Bakar Mineral Indonesia Terhadap Negara Asia-6. Other thesis, Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember.
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Abstract
Bahan Bakar Mineral menjadi komoditas strategis dalam ekspor Indonesia, khususnya di sektor pertambangan non migas dengan kontribusi terbesar yakni 17,94 persen dari total ekspor sektor non migas pada tahun 2023. Data panel digunakan untuk menganalisis beberapa faktor yang mempengaruhi ekspor bahan bakar mineral Indonesia ke enam negara importir di Asia yaitu China, Jepang, India, Malaysia, Korea Selatan, dan Filipina periode 2014-2023. Metode yang digunakan adalah pendekatan kuantitatif dengan regresi data panel, serta didukung oleh analisis statistik deskriptif. Variabel independen yang diteliti mencakup daya beli, daya saing perdagangan internasional, harga barang substitusi, stabilitas geopolitik, dan kontribusi manufaktur negara importir yang diambil dari Kementerian Perdagangan RI, World Bank Data, dan Trademap. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa daya beli tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap ekspor bahan bakar mineral Indonesia namun variabel yang lain terbukti mempengaruhi signifikan. Hal ini dikarenakan kemampuan belanja masyarakat di negara importir tidak berpengaruh langsung terhadap permintaan bahan bakar mineral karena tidak menjadi konsumsi langsung publik namun sebagai input industri manufaktur. Berbeda dengan variabel daya saing, harga substitusi, stabilitas geopolitik, dan kontribusi manufaktur yang memiliki hubungan langsung dengan permintaan bahan bakar mineral. Penelitian ini diharapkan dapat memperkaya keilmuan tentang ekspor energi dan mampu memberikan kontribusi empiris bagi perumus kebijakan ekspor yang berbasis data, khususnya dalam penguatan daya saing Indonesia di pasar energi global.
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Mineral Fuel is a strategic commodity in Indonesia's exports, especially in the non-oil and gas mining sector with the largest contribution of 17.94 percent of total non-oil and gas sector exports in 2023. Panel data is used to analyze several factors affecting Indonesia's mineral fuel exports to six importing countries in Asia, namely China, Japan, India, Malaysia, South Korea, and the Philippines for the period 2014-2023. The method used is a quantitative approach with panel data regression, and supported by descriptive statistical analysis. The independent variables studied include purchasing power, international trade competitiveness, prices of substitute goods, geopolitical stability, and manufacturing contributions of importing countries taken from the Indonesian Ministry of Trade, World Bank Data, and Trademap. The results showed that purchasing power did not have a significant effect on Indonesia's mineral fuel exports but other variables were shown to have a significant effect. This is because the spending ability of people in importing countries does not directly affect the demand for mineral fuels because it does not become direct public consumption but as an input to the manufacturing industry. In contrast, the variables of competitiveness, substitution price, geopolitical stability, and manufacturing contribution have a direct relationship with mineral fuel demand. This research is expected to enrich the science of energy exports and be able to provide empirical contributions for data-based export policy formulators, especially in strengthening Indonesia's competitiveness in the global energy market.
| Item Type: | Thesis (Other) |
|---|---|
| Uncontrolled Keywords: | Perdagangan Internasional, Bahan Bakar Mineral, Data Panel, Ekonomi, Geopolitik |
| Subjects: | H Social Sciences > HA Statistics H Social Sciences > HA Statistics > HA29 Theory and method of social science statistics H Social Sciences > HA Statistics > HA31.3 Regression. Correlation. Logistic regression analysis. H Social Sciences > HC Economic History and Conditions > HC441 Macroeconomics. |
| Divisions: | Faculty of Creative Design and Digital Business (CREABIZ) > Developmental Studies > 60201-(S1) Undergraduate Thesis |
| Depositing User: | Muhammad Firas Danial Amril Haq |
| Date Deposited: | 29 Jul 2025 04:13 |
| Last Modified: | 29 Jul 2025 04:13 |
| URI: | http://repository.its.ac.id/id/eprint/122554 |
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