Muzakkir, Daffa Fahrezi (2025) Evaluasi Multidimensional Kinerja Proyek Pipa Gas X Menggunakan Pendekatan Triple Bottom Line (TBL). Other thesis, Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember.
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Abstract
Proyek infrastruktur energi seperti pipa gas menuntut evaluasi kelayakan berbasis keberlanjutan. Penelitian ini mengkaji Proyek Pipa Gas X dengan pendekatan Triple Bottom Line (TBL) yang mencakup dimensi Profit, People, dan Planet, menggunakan metode mixed methods dengan desain concurrent triangulation. Evaluasi dilakukan secara terpadu melalui analisis keuangan, risiko sosial, dan kepatuhan lingkungan. Pada dimensi Profit, pendekatan Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) dan Monte Carlo Simulation digunakan untuk mengevaluasi proyeksi keekonomian 25 tahun ke depan. Simulasi menunjukkan distribusi NPV pada tiga skenario: Low (USD 8,9 juta), Base (USD 10,1 juta), dan High (USD 12,3 juta), dengan probabilitas kelayakan >90% dan PI rata-rata sebesar 1,07. Hasil ini menegaskan proyek layak secara finansial, dengan efisiensi CAPEX dan pengendalian OPEX sebagai kunci peningkatan performa. Pada dimensi People, digunakan analisis AHP–TOPSIS, kuesioner persepsi masyarakat, dan wawancara tematik. Tiga risiko sosial tinggi berhasil diturunkan ke tingkat normal melalui strategi mitigasi gabungan, sehingga Indeks Persepsi Sosial meningkat dari 67,8% menjadi 73,2%. Pada dimensi Planet, evaluasi risiko lingkungan berbasis dokumen, regulasi, dan wawancara menunjukkan proyek mematuhi standar nasional dan internasional, termasuk IPCC dan WHO, tanpa pelanggaran aktual. Penelitian ini menyimpulkan bahwa Proyek Pipa Gas X layak secara ekonomi, sosial, dan lingkungan. Integrasi TBL dengan pendekatan probabilistik dinilai krusial untuk mendukung keberlanjutan investasi infrastruktur energi di Indonesia.
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This study evaluates the feasibility of the Gas Pipeline Project X using the Triple Bottom Line (TBL) approach, which integrates economic (Profit), social (People), and environmental (Planet) dimensions. A mixed-methods design was employed, utilizing concurrent triangulation to validate quantitative financial forecasting with qualitative insights from interviews. In the Profit dimension, the project demonstrated strong financial viability: capital expenditure (CAPEX) was reduced by 29%, annual operational expenditure (OPEX) declined by 82%, and Net Present Value (NPV) increased from USD 10.27 million to USD 35.42 million. The project also achieved an Internal Rate of Return (IRR) of 12%—exceeding the hurdle rate of 10.39%—and a Profitability Index (PI) of 1.325, confirming its long-term economic sustainability over a 25-year horizon, as validated by a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model and Monte Carlo Simulation. In the People dimension, risk mapping and mitigation were carried out using AHP–TOPSIS, community questionnaires, and thematic interviews. The highest social risk indicators (B2, B5, D1) were mitigated through a combined strategy (A4), which improved the Social Perception Index from 67.8% to 73.2% and normalized all major risks. Meanwhile, the Planet dimension was addressed through a regulatory compliance review focusing on two critical environmental risks—methane leakage and noise pollution—supplemented by expert interviews. Results indicated full compliance with IPCC, WHO, and national environmental standards. Overall, the findings affirm that the project is financially sound, socially legitimate, and environmentally compliant, underscoring the importance of sustainability-oriented risk management in national energy infrastructure development.
Item Type: | Thesis (Other) |
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Uncontrolled Keywords: | Triple Bottom Line, Monte Carlo Simulation, DCF, Infrastruktur Energi, Evaluasi Keuangan, Risiko Sosial, Kepatuhan Lingkungan, AHP–TOPSIS, Keberlanjutan Proyek. |
Subjects: | H Social Sciences > HD Industries. Land use. Labor > HD30.28 Planning. Business planning. Strategic planning. |
Divisions: | Faculty of Business and Management Technology > Development Studies > 60201-(S1) Undergraduate Thesis |
Depositing User: | Daffa Fahrezi Muzakkir |
Date Deposited: | 30 Jul 2025 07:19 |
Last Modified: | 30 Jul 2025 07:19 |
URI: | http://repository.its.ac.id/id/eprint/123421 |
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