Syahrial, Moch. Yusuf Agil (2025) Analisis Faktor-Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Gross Domestic Product Negara APEC-7 Menggunakan Regresi Data Panel Dinamis System Geneeralized Method of Moments. Other thesis, Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember.
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Abstract
Salah satu kepentingan nasional yang bersifat middle-range objective adalah meningkatkan pertumbuhan ekonomi yang diukur dengan variabel Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Kerjasama multilateral dipilih oleh Indonesia sebagai langkah untuk menggapai kepentingan nasional tersebut, salah satunya Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC). Negara anggota APEC yang berada di kawasan Asia Tenggara adalah Indonesia, Singapura, Malaysia, Thailand, Vietnam, Filipina, dan Brunei Darussalam. Penelitian ini memiliki tujuan untuk mengetahui variabel-variabel yang berpengaruh terhadap GDP pada negara-negara anggota APEC yang berada di kawasan Asia Tenggara periode 2019 hingga 2023. Data yang digunakan berasal dari website resmi World Bank dengan 35 observasi dan 5 variabel. Variabel yang diduga berpengaruh terhadap GDP yaitu Consumer Prices Index (CPI), Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), Government Expenditure, dan Terms of Trade (TOT). Variabel-variabel ini dipilih berdasarkan perhitungan GDP dengan pendekatan expenditure approach. Penelitian ini menggunakan model regresi data panel dinamis dengan metode estimasi System Generalized Method of Moments (SYS-GMM). Model dinamis dipilih karena mampu mengatasi kedinamisan yang dimiliki oleh variabel ekonomi makro. Penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa terdapat dua variabel yang berpengaruh signifikan terhadap GDP, yaitu Consumer Prices Index (CPI) dan Foreign Direct InvesX`tment (FDI). Sedangkan, variabel Terms of Trade (TOT) dan Government Expenditure tidak berpengaruh secara signifikan.
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One of the middle-range national objectives increase economic growth as measured by the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) variable. Multilateral cooperation has been chosen as a step to achieve this national objective. One of Indonesia's multilateral cooperation initiatives is the Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC). The APEC member countries in the Southeast Asian region are Indonesia, Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand, Vietnam, the Philippines, and Brunei Darussalam. This study aims to identify the variables that influence GDP in APEC member countries in the Southeast Asian region from 2019 to 2023. The data used comes from the official World Bank website with 35 observations and 5 variables. The variables suspected to influence GDP are the Consumer Price Index (CPI), Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), Government Expenditure, and Terms of Trade (TOT). These variables were selected based on GDP calculations using the expenditure approach. This study uses a dynamic panel data regression model with the System Generalized Method of Moments (SYS-GMM) estimation method. The dynamic model was chosen because it is capable of addressing the dynamism of macroeconomic variables. This study shows that there are two variables that significantly influence GDP, namely Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and Consumer Price Index (CPI). Meanwhile, the Government Expenditure and Terms of Trade (TOT) variables do not have a significant influence.
| Item Type: | Thesis (Other) |
|---|---|
| Uncontrolled Keywords: | Gross Domestic Product, Data Panel Dinamis, System GMM, APEC Gross Domestic Product, Dynamic Data Panel, System GMM, APEC |
| Subjects: | H Social Sciences > H Social Sciences (General) H Social Sciences > HC Economic History and Conditions H Social Sciences > HC Economic History and Conditions > HC441 Macroeconomics. |
| Divisions: | Faculty of Science and Data Analytics (SCIENTICS) > Statistics > 49201-(S1) Undergraduate Thesis |
| Depositing User: | Moch. Yusuf Agil Syahrial |
| Date Deposited: | 01 Aug 2025 02:56 |
| Last Modified: | 01 Aug 2025 02:56 |
| URI: | http://repository.its.ac.id/id/eprint/125506 |
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