PEMODELAN DAN PEMETAAN RATA-RATA USIA KAWIN PERTAMA WANITA DENGAN PENDEKATAN REGRESI LOGISTIK ORDINAL DI PROVINSI JAWA TIMUR

ANANTO, AJENG KUSUMANINGTYAS PUTRI (2014) PEMODELAN DAN PEMETAAN RATA-RATA USIA KAWIN PERTAMA WANITA DENGAN PENDEKATAN REGRESI LOGISTIK ORDINAL DI PROVINSI JAWA TIMUR. Undergraduate thesis, Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember.

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Abstract

Jumlah penduduk Jawa Timur berada di peringkat ke-2 setelah
Jawa Barat pada tahun 2012. Pertambahan dan penurunan jumlah
penduduk dipengaruhi oleh 3 faktor yaitu fertilitas, mortalitas dan
migrasi. Salah satu faktor yang yang sangat berpengaruh adalah
fertilitas. Beberapa hal yang mempengaruhi fertilitas adalah pemakaian
alat/cara KB oleh pasangan yang telah menikah, rata-rata usia
penduduk pada saat kawin pertama kali, serta lamanya seseorang
dalam status perkawinan. Berdasarkan BKKBN Jatim (2013b), lebih
dari 50 persen wanita di Jawa Timur kawin dibawah usia 20 tahun.
Fenomena perkawinan wanita di usia dini dapat mengakibatkan
overpopulation. Pada penelitian ini dilakukan pemetaan dan pemodelan
rata-rata Usia Kawin Pertama (UKP) wanita di Jawa Timur tahun 2012
dengan 5 variabel prediktor yaitu perbedaan daerah tapal kuda,
kabupaten/kota yang memiliki pesisir dan tidak, IPM, persentase wanita
yang tinggal di kota, dan persentase wanita yang tamat pendidikan
minimal pendidikan menengah. Hasil pemodelan menunjukkan bahwa
variabel persentase wanita yang tinggal di kota dan persentase wanita
yang tamat pendidikan minimal pendidikan menengah signifikan
berpengaruh terhadap UKP wanita di Jawa Timur dengan ketepatan
klasifikasi sebesar 84,21 persen.

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East Java is the second rank province below West Java of total
civil population in 2012. The increasing and decreasing of population
are influenced by 3 factors, they are fertility, mortality and migration.
One of them which more influence is fertility and it is affected by the
using family planning tools, the average age of first marriage and how
long someone in relationship. Based on East Java Family Planning
Corporation or BKKBN, more than 50 percent of woman in East Java
married at 20 years old. The overpopulation is caused by woman who
are married at young. So in this research, the average age of woman at
first marriage in East Java 2012 with 5 predictors variables, they are
the differences between horse shoe areas and others, the regencies in
East Java wich have coastal area, human development index,
percentage of urban woman and percentage of graduated woman in
minimum high school education are being modelled and mapped. The
result of this research shows that the percentage of urban woman and
percentage of graduated woman in minimum high school education are
significantly influence the age average of woman at first marriage and
the accuracy of classification is up to 84,21 percent.

Item Type:	Thesis (Undergraduate)
Additional Information:	RSSt 519.536 Ana p
Uncontrolled Keywords:	Regresi logistik ordinal; usia kawin pertama (UKP)
Subjects:	Q Science > QA Mathematics Q Science > QA Mathematics > QA278.2 Regression Analysis. Logistic regression
Divisions:	Faculty of Mathematics and Science > Statistics > 49201-(S1) Undergraduate Thesis
Depositing User:	Mr. Tondo Indra Nyata
Date Deposited:	03 Jan 2017 04:47
Last Modified:	03 Jan 2017 07:56
URI:	http://repository.its.ac.id/id/eprint/1268

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