trishnanti, dea (2017) Peramalan Permintan Darah Di Nganjuk (Studi Kasus Unit Donor Darah PMI Kabupaten Nganjuk). Diploma thesis, Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember.
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Abstract
Darah sangat penting bagi keberlangsungan kehidupan manusia, darah merupakan transportasi alami di dalam tubuh yang berfungsi mengedarkan O2 dan CO2 serta sari sari makanan di dalam tubuh manusia. Pendarahan hebat yang terjadi pada manusia di sebabkan oleh banyak hal, untuk tetap mendapat asupan darah adalah dengan transfusi darah. PMI bertugas untuk menampung dan mendistribusikan darah kepada resipien. Seringkali PMI kabupaten Nganjuk kekurangan persedian darah tertentu dikarenakan jumlah persediaan darah di penyimpanan lebih sedikit dibandingkan permintaan masyarakat. Seperti yang terjadi di bulan Oktober 2015, permintaan masyarakat terhadap darah O tidak dapat dipenuhi sehingga PMI Nganjuk mengambil persediaan darah dari UDD daerah lain. Darah menurut Karl Landsteiner di golongakan berdasarkan aglutinin dan antigen yang terkandung di dalam nya menjadi 4 golongan yaitu golongan O, A, B dan AB dimana masing-masing golongan sebisa mungkin tidak saling tercampur. Berdasarkan urgenitas kondisi persediaan darah dan pengelompokkan yang tidak membolehkan mendapat transfusi dari golongan darah lain, maka penulis akan meramalkan jumlah permintaan golongan untuk masing-masing darah. Metode peramalan yang akan digunakan yaitu metode ARIMA Box-Jenkins dikarenakan Box Jenkins sangat baik dalam meramalkan data jangka pendek. Hasil analisis menunjukkan bahwa model terbaik jumlah permintaan golongan darah O, A, B dan AB berturut-turut adalah ARIMA (0,1,1)(1,0,0)12, (0,1,1)(0,1,0)12, (2,1,1) dan (0,1,1)
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Blood is very important for the survival of human life, blood is a natural transport in the body that serves to circulate the O2 and CO2 and juice of food in the human body. Severe bleeding that occurs in humans caused by many things, to keep getting blood intake is by blood transfusions. PMI is tasked to accommodate and distribute blood to recipients. Often the PMI Nganjuk district lacks a certain blood supply because the amount of blood supply in storage is less than the demand of the community. As happened in October 2015, the public demand for blood O could not be fulfilled so that PMI Nganjuk took blood supplies from other regional UDD. The blood according to Karl Landsteiner is based on agglutinin and the antigen contained in it into 4 groups namely group O, A, B and AB where each group as much as possible not mutually mixed. Based on the urgency of blood supply conditions and groupings that do not allow for transfusion from other blood groups, the authors will predict the number of groups requested for each blood. Forecasting method that will be used is Box-Jenkins ARIMA method because Box-Jenkins is very good in predicting short-term data. The results of the analysis showed that the best model number of blood group demand of O, A, B and AB were ARIMA (0,1,1) (1,0,0) 12, (0,1,1) (0,1, 0) 12, (2,1,1) and (0,1,1).
| Item Type: | Thesis (Diploma) |
|---|---|
| Uncontrolled Keywords: | ARIMA Box-Jenkins, darah, UDD PMI Kabupaten Nganjuk |
| Subjects: | Q Science Q Science > Q Science (General) Q Science > QM Human anatomy |
| Divisions: | Faculty of Vocational > 49501-Business Statistics |
| Depositing User: | - Dea Trishnanti |
| Date Deposited: | 18 Jan 2018 02:34 |
| Last Modified: | 06 Mar 2019 07:29 |
| URI: | http://repository.its.ac.id/id/eprint/44872 |
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