Prananda, Juniarko (2014) Analisa Dan Prediksi Emisi Gas Karbondioksida Untuk Mendukung Pengembangan Energi Hijau Di Kota Surabaya. Masters thesis, Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember.
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Abstract
Surabaya merupakan kota metropolitan dan yang terbesar kedua di Indonesia. Hal
ini menjadi daya tarik urbanisasi masyarakat dan investor untuk melakukan
aktifitasnya di Surabaya. Fenomena ini berimbas pada peningkatan jumlah
industri, alat transportasi, dan jumlah penduduk yang ada di Surabaya. Dampak
dari perkembangan ini sangat berpengaruh pada kualitas udara karena emisi gas
karbon yang dihasilkan. Sehingga penelitian ini dilakukan untuk menganalisa dan
memprediksi tingkat emisi gas karbon dengan menggunakan metode ARIMA,Grey
Model,dan Kuznet Curve. Dari ketiga metode prediksi tersebut didapatkan nilai
error rata-rata terhadap nilai sebenarnya sebesar 71,72% untuk ARIMA, 6,81%
untuk Grey Model,dan 4,81% untuk Kuznet Curve. Berdasarkan nilai korelasi
yang didapatkan, korelasi variabel PDB sektor perdagangan, hotel, dan restauran
sebesar 8,51%; nilai korelasi rata-rata untuk variabel PDB sektor pengolahan.
yakni sebesar 12,43%; nilai korelasi PDB sektor pengangkutan dan komunikasi
sebesar 12,03%; korelasi variabel LPG sebesar 7,29%; dan nilai korelasi variabel
kendaraan roda dua sebesar 7,36% terhadap nilai prediksi emisi.
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Surabaya is a metropolitan city and the second largest in Indonesia. This is the
main attraction of urbanization and the investors to conduct its activities in
Surabaya.This phenomenon is affected to increase the number of industry,
transportation, and population in Surabaya.The impact of this is very influential
in the air quality due to carbon emission was produced. This research needs to be
done to determine the level of carbon emission using ARIMA method, Grey
Model method, and Environmental Kuznet Curve method.The three methods of the
prediction obtained the average error value of ARIMA is 71,72 %; 6,81 % for
grey model, and 4.81 % for EKC. Based on the correlation value was obtained,
the correlation variable of GDP Trade, Hotel, and Restaurant sectors was 8,51%;
the average correlation values for the GDP Processing sector was 12.43%; the
correlation value of GDP transport and communications sector was 12.03%;
LPG variable correlation was 7.29%; and the correlation value of motor cycles at
7.36% of the predicted value of Carbon Dioxide emissions.
| Item Type: | Thesis (Masters) |
|---|---|
| Additional Information: | RTF 628.161 Pra a |
| Uncontrolled Keywords: | Karbondioksida, Emisi, Prediksi. |
| Subjects: | T Technology > TD Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering > TD883.5 Air--Pollution |
| Divisions: | Faculty of Industrial Technology > Physics Engineering > 30101-(S2) Master Thesis |
| Depositing User: | Users 13 not found. |
| Date Deposited: | 23 Aug 2017 04:12 |
| Last Modified: | 23 Aug 2017 04:12 |
| URI: | http://repository.its.ac.id/id/eprint/48731 |
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