Azizah, Azizah (2019) Faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi persentase kasus HIV di Indonesia tahun 2017 Mengunakan Regresi Nonparametrik Spline Truncated. Other thesis, Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember.
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Abstract
Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) secara berkelanjutan telah menjadi permasalahan utama bagi pembangunan dan kemajuan sosial. Di Indonesia, kasus HIV mengalami peningkatan tiap tahunnya. Pada tahun 2017 negara Indonesia menjadi negara ketiga dengan kasus HIV terbanyak di Asia-Pasifik. Penyebab meningkatnya kasus HIV dipengaruhi beberapa faktor, untuk mengetahui faktor yang mempengaruhinya dilakukan penelitian menggunakan Regresi Nonparametrik Spline Truncated. Karena pola hubungan yang ditunjukan antar persentase kasus HIV dengan faktor-faktor yang diduga mempengaruhinya tidak mengikuti pola tertentu. Berdasarkan nilai GCV yang paling minimum, model terbaik adalah menggunakan kombinasi titik knot (3,3,2,2,1). Hasil pengujian signifikansi parameter menunjukkan bahwa seluruh variabel yang digunakan dalam penelitian berpengaruh signifikan terhadap persentase kasus HIV di Indonesia. Variabel yang digunakan adalah rasio layanan KT, persentase penggunaan kondom, persentase penduduk miskin, rasio layanan PDP, dan persentase penduduk laki-laki. Dan hasil pengujian asumsi residual menunjukkan semua asumsi terpenuhi dengan nilai koefisien determinasi dari model ini sama dengan 89,49%.
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Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) has become a major problem for social development and progress. In Indonesia, cases of HIV have increased every year. In 2017 the country of Indonesia became the third country with the most HIV cases in the Asia-Pacific. The cause of the increase in HIV cases is influenced by several factors, to find out the factors that influence it, a study was conducted using Truncated Nonparametric Spline Regression. Because the pattern of relations shown between the percentage of HIV cases and the factors suspected of influencing them does not follow a certain pattern. Based on the minimum GCV value, the best model is to use a knot point combination (3,3,2,2,1). The results of testing the significance of the parameters indicate that all variables used in the study had a significant effect on the percentage of HIV cases in Indonesia. The variables used were the ratio of KT service, percentage of condom use, percentage of poverty, the ratio of PDP service, and percentage of male population. And the results of the residual assumption test show that all assumptions are met with the coefficient of determination of this model equal to 89,49%.
| Item Type: | Thesis (Other) |
|---|---|
| Additional Information: | RSSt 519.536 Azi f-1 2019 |
| Uncontrolled Keywords: | GCV, HIV, Indonesia, Regresi Nonparametrik, Spline Truncated, Titik Knot |
| Subjects: | H Social Sciences > HA Statistics > HA29 Theory and method of social science statistics H Social Sciences > HA Statistics > HA31.35 Analysis of variance H Social Sciences > HA Statistics > HA31.3 Regression. Correlation H Social Sciences > HA Statistics > HA31.7 Estimation Q Science > Q Science (General) > Q180.55.M38 Mathematical models Q Science > QA Mathematics Q Science > QA Mathematics > QA278.2 Regression Analysis. Logistic regression Q Science > QA Mathematics > QA76.6 Computer programming. |
| Divisions: | Faculty of Mathematics, Computation, and Data Science > Statistics > 49201-(S1) Undergraduate Thesis |
| Depositing User: | Azizah Azizah |
| Date Deposited: | 12 Jun 2023 07:34 |
| Last Modified: | 12 Jun 2023 07:34 |
| URI: | http://repository.its.ac.id/id/eprint/63987 |
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