Suryani, Erma and Shuo-Yan, Chou and Chih-Hsien, Chen (2012) Dynamic Simulation Of Air Cargo. In: The 3rd Annual Indonesian Scholars Conference, 17 - 18 March 2012, Taiwan.
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Abstract
This paper establishes an approach to forecast air
cargo demand related to terminal capacity expansion.
To balance capacity and demand, it is required to
forecast the future demand based on optimistic and
pessimistic projections to decide when and how much,
the airport should expand the capacity. System
dynamics simulation model can provide reliable
forecast and generate scenarios to test alternative
assumptions and decisions. It was found that GDP
and FDI play an important role in fostering the
demand. Terminal expansion would be required in
2014 and 2021 at the optimistic projection;
meanwhile, based on pessimistic projection, capacity
should be expanded in 2025.
| Item Type: | Conference or Workshop Item (Paper) |
|---|---|
| Additional Information: | Collection ID : 99005120000064 Call Number : 333.793 213 011 3 Sur d |
| Uncontrolled Keywords: | Air cargo, Demand forecast, Terminal capacity expansion, System dynamics, Scenario analysis |
| Subjects: | H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory > Economic forecasting--Mathematical models. T Technology > TD Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering > TD194.6 Environmental impact analysis |
| Divisions: | Faculty of Information Technology > Information System |
| Depositing User: | - Davi Wah |
| Date Deposited: | 14 Oct 2019 07:47 |
| Last Modified: | 14 Oct 2019 07:47 |
| URI: | http://repository.its.ac.id/id/eprint/71091 |
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