Dynamic Simulation Of Air Cargo

Suryani, Erma and Shuo-Yan, Chou and Chih-Hsien, Chen (2012) Dynamic Simulation Of Air Cargo. In: The 3rd Annual Indonesian Scholars Conference, 17 - 18 March 2012, Taiwan.

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Abstract

This paper establishes an approach to forecast air cargo demand related to terminal capacity expansion. To balance capacity and demand, it is required to forecast the future demand based on optimistic and pessimistic projections to decide when and how much, the airport should expand the capacity. System dynamics simulation model can provide reliable forecast and generate scenarios to test alternative assumptions and decisions. It was found that GDP and FDI play an important role in fostering the demand. Terminal expansion would be required in 2014 and 2021 at the optimistic projection; meanwhile, based on pessimistic projection, capacity should be expanded in 2025.

Item Type: Conference or Workshop Item (Paper)
Additional Information: Collection ID : 99005120000064 Call Number : 333.793 213 011 3 Sur d
Uncontrolled Keywords: Air cargo, Demand forecast, Terminal capacity expansion, System dynamics, Scenario analysis
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory > Economic forecasting--Mathematical models.
T Technology > TD Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering > TD194.6 Environmental impact analysis
Divisions: Faculty of Information Technology > Information System
Depositing User: - Davi Wah
Date Deposited: 14 Oct 2019 07:47
Last Modified: 14 Oct 2019 07:47
URI: http://repository.its.ac.id/id/eprint/71091

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