Air passenger demand forecasting and passenger terminal capacity expansion: A system dynamics framework

Suryani, Erma and Shuo-Yan, Chou and Chih-Hsien, Chen (2010) Air passenger demand forecasting and passenger terminal capacity expansion: A system dynamics framework. Expert Systems with Applications, 37 (3). pp. 2324-2339.

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Abstract

This paper deals with how to develop a model to forecast air passenger demand and to evaluate some policy scenarios related with runway and passenger terminal capacity expansion to meet the future demand. System dynamics frameworks can be used to model, to analyze and to generate scenario to increase the system performance because of its capability of representing physical and information flows, based on information feedback control that are continuously converted into decisions and actions. We found that airfare impact, level of service impact, GDP, population, number of flights per day and dwell time play an important roles in determining the air passenger volume, runway utilization and total additional area needed for passenger terminal capacity expansion.

Item Type: Article
Additional Information: Collection ID : 99105120000095 Call Number : 519.5 Sur a
Uncontrolled Keywords: Forecasting, passenger terminal capacity, performance, service impact, Demand forecasting; dynamics System; Simulation; Capacity expansion; Scenario
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory > Economic forecasting--Mathematical models.
Divisions: Faculty of Information Technology > Informatics Engineering
Depositing User: - Davi Wah
Date Deposited: 15 Oct 2019 02:45
Last Modified: 15 Oct 2019 02:45
URI: http://repository.its.ac.id/id/eprint/71167

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