Muad, M. Rifqi (2020) Peramalan Produksi Daging Hewan Ternak Di Jawa Timur Menggunakan Metode Exponential Smooting. Diploma thesis, Instiitut Tekonogi Sepuluh Nopember.
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Abstract
Sebagai negara di wilayah tropis indonesia menjadi tempat yang bagus bagi hewan ternak baik karena suhu ataupun sumber makanan. beberapa hewan ternak berkai empat yang banyak di Indonesia adalah sapi, kerbau, kambing, domba, babi, kuda. Dimana tahun 2017 jawa timur memiliki hewan ternak yang populasinya tiga tertinggi dari pada provinsi lain. Semakin banyaknya penduduk semakin banyak pula permintaan terhadap daging hewan ternak. Permintaan pasar terhadap makanan selalu burubah seiring berjalannya waktu, begitupun dengan permintaan pasar terhadap daging. Konsumsi per kapita yang cenderung stabil. Impor daging sapi yang terlau banyak dan berbanding terbalik dengan expor daging sapi. Adanya kondisi tersebut membuat peternakan kesulitan dalam menentukan jumlah yang akan diproduksi di periode mendatang, oleh karena itu peternakan di Jawa Timur memerlukan perencanaan jumlah produk daging sapi yang diproduksi. Sehingga untuk mengantisipasi masalah tersebut perlu dilakukan peramalan untuk mengetahui menggunakan metode Exponential Smoothing model masing masing hewan ternak, mengetahui model ramalan produksi daging hewan ternak pada periode yang akan datang, dan menentukan daging apa yang paling banyak.
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As a country in the tropics, Indonesia is a good place for livestock due to temperature or food sources. some of the many four-tailed livestock in Indonesia are cows, buffaloes, goats, sheep, pigs, horses. Where in 2017 East Java has livestock whose population is the three highest compared to other provinces. More and more population, the more demand for livestock meat. Market demand for food always changes over time, as does market demand for meat. Per capita consumption which tends to be stable. Imported beef is too much and is inversely proportional to beef exports. The existence of these conditions makes it difficult for farms to determine the amount to be produced in the coming period, therefore farms in East Java require planning the number of beef products produced. So to anticipate these problems forecasting needs to be done to find out using the Exponential Smoothing model of each livestock model, find out the forecast model of livestock meat production in the coming period, and determine which meat is the most.
| Item Type: | Thesis (Diploma) |
|---|---|
| Additional Information: | RSSB 519.535 Mua p-1 2019 |
| Uncontrolled Keywords: | Daging, Hewan Ternak, Meat, Exponential Smoothing, Livestock |
| Subjects: | L Education > L Education (General) Q Science > QA Mathematics > QA280 Box-Jenkins forecasting |
| Divisions: | Faculty of Vocational > 49501-Business Statistics |
| Depositing User: | M Rifqi Muad |
| Date Deposited: | 19 May 2023 11:28 |
| Last Modified: | 19 May 2023 11:28 |
| URI: | http://repository.its.ac.id/id/eprint/76423 |
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