Nurhalizah, Upik (2021) Analisis Kelayakan Dan Risiko Finansial Untuk Menentukan Keputusan Kerjasama Dengan Pihak Mitra (Studi Kasus: Usaha Amdk Milik Perusahaan X). Undergraduate thesis, Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember.
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Abstract
Perusahaan X merupakan salah satu perusahaan BUMN yang bergerak dalam bidang penyediaan dan penyaluran air. Salah satu bidang usaha yang dikelola Perusahaan X adalah usaha AMDK. Saat ini usaha AMDK Perusahaan X hanya di pasarkan dilingkungan internal perusahaan. Namun dengan adanya peningkatan kapasitas, teknologi baru, dan dokumen perijinan, Perusahaan X ingin memasarkan produk AMDK-nya ke masyarakat luas. Oleh karena itu, Perusahaan X berencana untuk melakukan kerja sama dengan pihak mitra dalam pengelolaannya. Kerja sama yang dilakukan dengan cara Kerjasama Usaha (KSU). Dengan adanya rencana kerja sama diperlukan gambaran yang obyektif terkait dengan kelayakan rencana tersebut sebagai pertimbangan melakukan proyek pengembangan usaha. Dalam menentukan penilaian usaha melalui parameter Net Present Value (NPV), Internal Rate of Return (IRR), dan Payback Period (PP). Hasil dari analisis kelayakan kerja sama dianggap layak, karena berdasarkan tiga perspektif penilaian kelayakan, yaitu perspektif Usaha AMDK, Perusahaan X, dan Pihak Mitra memenuhi kriteria kelayakan finansial. Dengan menggunakan WACC 9,45%, berdasarkan 3 perspektif didapatkan nilai NPV>0, IRR>WACC, dan PP tidak melebihi horizon perencanaan. Selain itu, untuk menghindari kegagalan atas rencana kerja sama juga diperlukan analisis risiko ketidakpastian dengan metode NPV-at-Risk berbasis simulasi Monte Carlo sebagai gambaran atas potensi faktor-faktor menyebabkan kegagalan sehingga dapat dilihat kelayakan dari usaha. Berdasarkan hasil dari analisis risiko dengan mempertimbangkan ketidakpastian menggunakan simulasi didapatkan hasil bahwa kemungkinan usaha “layak” adalah sangat besar.
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Company X is one of the state-owned companies engaged in the supply and delivery of air. One of the business fields managed by Company X is the AMDK business. Currently, Company X's bottled water business is only marketed within the company's internal environment. However, with increased capacity, new technology, and licensing documents, Company X wants to market its AMDK products to the wider community. Therefore, Company X plans to cooperate with partners in its management. Cooperation is carried out by means of Business Cooperation (KSU). With the cooperation plan, an objective picture is related to the development of the plan as consideration for doing business. In determining the valuation effort, the parameters are Net Present Value (NPV), Internal Rate of Return (IRR), and Payback Period (PP). The results of the analysis are considered feasible because based on considerations, namely AMDK Business, Company X, and Partner Parties meet the right criteria. By using WACC 9.45%, based on 3 perspectives, the value of NPV>0, IRR>WACC, and PP does not exceed the planning horizon. In addition, to avoid failure of the cooperation plan, and uncertainty analysis using the NPV-at-Risk method based on Monte Carlo simulation is also needed as an illustration of the factors that cause failure so that the feasibility of the business can be seen. Based on the results of the risk analysis taking into account the uncertainty using the simulation results, it is found that the possibility of a "feasible" business is very large.
Item Type: | Thesis (Undergraduate) |
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Uncontrolled Keywords: | AMDK, Studi Kelayakan, KSU, NPV, IRR, PP, NPV-at Risk |
Subjects: | H Social Sciences > HD Industries. Land use. Labor > HD30.24 Feasibility studies. Feasibility appraisals H Social Sciences > HD Industries. Land use. Labor > HD61 Risk Management |
Divisions: | Faculty of Industrial Technology and Systems Engineering (INDSYS) > Industrial Engineering |
Depositing User: | Upik Nurhalizah |
Date Deposited: | 12 Aug 2021 09:56 |
Last Modified: | 12 Aug 2021 09:56 |
URI: | http://repository.its.ac.id/id/eprint/85807 |
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