Pemodelan Angka Partisipasi Murni Usia SMA dan Sederajat di Provinsi Papua Menggunakan Metode Regresi Nonparametrik Spline Tahun 2019

Vyamili, Kornelia Zenitha (2021) Pemodelan Angka Partisipasi Murni Usia SMA dan Sederajat di Provinsi Papua Menggunakan Metode Regresi Nonparametrik Spline Tahun 2019. Undergraduate thesis, Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember.

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Abstract

Pendidikan merupakan suatu hal yang sangat penting bagi setiap manusia agar menjadi sumber daya manusia yang berkualitas. Angka Partisipasi Murni (APM) adalah salah satu indikator yang dapat menunjukkan tingkat pendidikan karena APM dapat mengukur daya serap sistem pendidikan terhadap penduduk usia sekolah. Rendahnya tingkat pendidikan di Provinsi Papua ditandai oleh APM usia SMA dan sederajat sebesar 44,32%, dimana angka tersebut merupakan yang paling rendah di antara 34 provinsi di Indonesia. Sebagai upaya untuk meningkatkan APM, perlu dilakukan pemodelan APM usia SMA dan sederajat sehingga dapat diketahui faktor-faktor apa saja yang me-mengaruhinya. Metode regresi nonparametrik spline sangat fleksibel dalam pemodelan dan sesuai digunakan pada penelitian di bidang sosial dan kependudukan, sehingga dapat digunakan untuk memodelkan APM usia SMA dan sederajat di Provinsi Papua. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa persentase penduduk miskin, rasio murid-guru, rasio murid-sekolah, angka melek huruf, dan harapan lama sekolah berpengaruh signifikan terhadap APM usia SMA dan sederajat. Model APM usia SMA dan sederajat di Provinsi Papua memiliki koefisien determinasi (R2) sebesar 98,84% dengan MSE sebesar 16,786.
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Education is something that is very important for every human being in order to become a quality human resource. The Net Enrollment Rate (NER) is an indicator that shows the level of education because the NER can measure the absorption of the education system towards the school-age population. The low level of education in Papua Province is indicated by the NER of senior high school age and equivalent of 44,32%, where this figure is the lowest among 34 provinces in Indonesia. As an effort to increase the NER, it is necessary to do NER of senior high school age and equivalent modeling so that it can be known what factors influence it. The spline nonparametric regression method is very flexible in modeling and suitable for use in social and demographic research, so it can be used to model the NER of senior high school age and equivalent in Papua Province. The results showed that the percentage of poor people, student-teacher ratios, student-school ratios, literacy rates, and expectations for years of schooling have a significant effect on the NER for high school age and equivalent. The NER model for high school age and equivalent in Papua Province has a coefficient of determination (R2) of 98.84% with an MSE of 16.786.

Item Type:	Thesis (Undergraduate)
Uncontrolled Keywords:	Angka Partisipasi Murni, Provinsi Papua, Regresi Nonparametrik, Spline
Subjects:	H Social Sciences > HA Statistics > HA31.3 Regression. Correlation
Divisions:	Faculty of Vocational > 49501-Business Statistics
Depositing User:	Kornelia Zenitha Vyamili
Date Deposited:	16 Aug 2021 04:24
Last Modified:	16 Aug 2021 04:24
URI:	http://repository.its.ac.id/id/eprint/86942

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