Pemetaan Kasus Pneumonia Balita Di Jawa Timur Berdasarkan Hasil Pemodelan Dengan Geographically Weighted Negative Binomial Regression (GWNBR)

Umami, Nurul Facrotul (2023) Pemetaan Kasus Pneumonia Balita Di Jawa Timur Berdasarkan Hasil Pemodelan Dengan Geographically Weighted Negative Binomial Regression (GWNBR). Diploma thesis, Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember.

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Abstract

Pada tahun 2021, tiga provinsi dengan jumlah kasus Pneumonia balita tertinggi di Indonesia adalah Jawa Timur sebesar 74.071, disusul oleh Jawa Barat sebesar 67.185 kasus dan Jawa Tengah sebesar 35.978 kasus. Menurut WHO (2010) Pneumonia dapat menular dengan beberapa cara salah satunya adalah melalui udara yang terdapat virus danbakteri penyebab Pneumonia didalamnya. Angka kematian atau Case Fatality Rate penderita Pneumonia balita di Jawa Timur sebesar 0,042%, artinya terdapat 4 kematian di antara 10.000 kasus Pneumonia balita. Pneumonia menjadi faktor utama penyebab kematian balita di Jawa Timur tahun 2021. Jumlah kematian anak balita yang disebabkan Pneumonia sebesar 12,7%, lebih besar daripada diare. Berdasarkan hal tersebut, diperlukan pemodelan yang tepat untuk menganalisis variabel prediktor yang mempengaruhi banyaknya kasus Pneumonia balita di Jawa Timur. Setiap wilayah memiliki perbedaan karakteristik, perbedaan ini menimbulkan efek spasial, sehingga untuk mengatasi hal tersebut salah satu metode yang digunakan adalah Geographically Weighted Negative Binomial Regression (GWNBR). Jumlah kasus Pneumonia balita paling banyak terjadi di Kab. Sidoarjo dan yang paling rendah adalah Kabupaten Pacitan. Pemodelan dengan GWNBR menghasilkan 9 kelompok berdasarkan variabel yang signifikan dimana faktor yang mempengaruhi di semua kabupaten/kota adalah kepadatan penduduk dan persentase cakupan pelayanan kesehatan balita.
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In 2021, the three provinces with the highest number of cases of pneumonia under five in Indonesia are East Java with 74,071, followed by West Java with 67,185 cases and Central Java with 35,978 cases. According to WHO (2010) Pneumonia can be transmitted in several ways, one of which is through the air where there are viruses and bacteria that cause pneumonia in it. The mortality rate or Case Fatality Rate for toddler pneumonia in East Java is 0.042%, meaning that there are 4 deaths out of 10,000 cases of toddler pneumonia. Pneumonia is the main factor causing under-five deaths in East Java in 2021. The number of under-five deaths caused by pneumonia is 12.7%, greater than diarrhea. Based on this, appropriate modeling is needed to analyze the predictor variables that influence the number of cases of pneumonia under five in East Java. Each region has different characteristics, these differences cause spatial effects, so to overcome this one of the methods used is Geographically Weighted Negative Binomial Regression (GWNBR). The highest number of cases of pneumonia under five occurred in Kab. Sidoarjo and the lowest is Pacitan Regency. Modeling with GWNBR produces 9 groups based on significant variables where the influencing factors in all districts/cities are population density and the percentage of under-five health service coverage.

Item Type:	Thesis (Diploma)
Uncontrolled Keywords:	GWNBR, Pneumonia Balita, Regresi Binomial Negatif, GWNBR, Pneumonia, Negative Binomial Regression.
Subjects:	H Social Sciences > HA Statistics > HA30.6 Spatial analysis H Social Sciences > HA Statistics > HA31.3 Regression. Correlation R Medicine > RC Internal medicine > RC771 Pneumonia.
Divisions:	Faculty of Vocational > 49501-Business Statistics
Depositing User:	Nurul Facrotul Umami
Date Deposited:	12 Jun 2023 07:07
Last Modified:	12 Jun 2023 07:07
URI:	http://repository.its.ac.id/id/eprint/98084

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