Peramalan Volume Penjualan Aspal Curah Dan Aspal Drum Di PT. Pertamina (Persero) Mor V Surabaya - Forecasting Sales Volume Of Bulk Asphalt And Drum Asphalt At PT. Pertamina (Persero) Mor V Surabaya)

Dewi, Nyoman Cista Striratna (2016) Peramalan Volume Penjualan Aspal Curah Dan Aspal Drum Di PT. Pertamina (Persero) Mor V Surabaya - Forecasting Sales Volume Of Bulk Asphalt And Drum Asphalt At PT. Pertamina (Persero) Mor V Surabaya). Diploma thesis, Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember.

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Abstract

Saat ini kebutuhan aspal di Indonesia terus meningkat dari tahun ke tahun seiring dengan pertumbuhan ekonomi yang memerlukan dukungan kehandalan infrastruktur, seperti pembangunan jalan umum, jalan tol, bandara, dan infrastruktur lainnya. Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk mengetahui prediksi volume penjua-lan aspal curah dan aspal drum pada periode mendatang dengan menggunakan metode peramalan Regresi Time Series. Sumber data yang digunakan adalah data volume penjualan aspal curah dan aspal drum pada bulan Januari 2011 hingga Desember 2015. Hasil analisis peramalan pada volume penjualan aspal curah cenderung meningkat, volume penjualan tertinggi terjadi pada bulan Desember 2016 sebanyak 14503,67 ton, dan persentase kenaikan di tahun 2016 (berdasarkan hasil ramalan) sebesar 12,76% dari tahun sebelumnya. Sedangkan hasil peramalan pada volume penjualan aspal drum mengalami fluktuasi, volume pen-jualan tertinggi terjadi pada bulan Oktober 2016 sebanyak 12197,88 ton, dan persentase kenaikan volume penjualan di tahun 2016 (berdasarkan hasil ramalan) sebesar 3,93% dari tahun 2015. ======================================================================================================================== In this time, asphalt demand in Indonesia continues to increase from year to year in line with economic growth that requiring the support of infrastructure reliability, such as the construction of public roads, highways, airports, and other infrastructures. The purpose of this research was to determine the prediction sales volume of bulk and drum asphalt in the next period using Regression Time Series method in forecasting. The sources of the data used is sales volume of bulk and drum asphalt in January 2011 until December 2015. The results of forecasting analysis on sales volume of bulk asphalt is inclined up, the highest sales volume occurred in December 2016 as 14503,672 tons, and the percentage increase in 2016 (based on forecast results) amounted to 12,76% from the previous year. While, the result of forecasting on sales volume of drum asphalt is fluctuated, the highest sales volume occurred in October 2016 is about 12197,88 tons, and the percentage increase of sales volume in 2016 (based on forecast results) is 3,93% from 2015.

Item Type: Thesis (Diploma)
Additional Information: RSSt 519.535 Dew p
Uncontrolled Keywords: Aspal Curah, Aspal Drum, Peramalan, Regresi Time Series, Bulk Asphalt, Drum Asphalt, Forecasting, Time Series Regression
Subjects: T Technology > T Technology (General) > T174 Technological forecasting
Divisions: Faculty of Mathematics and Science > Statistics > 49401-(D3) Diploma 3
Depositing User: ansi aflacha
Date Deposited: 06 Jan 2020 02:55
Last Modified: 06 Jan 2020 02:55
URI: https://repository.its.ac.id/id/eprint/72540

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