Pemodelan Faktor-Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Persentase Wanita Aktif KB di Provinsi Jawa Tengah Menggunakan Regresi Nonparametrik Spine Truncated

Mufidah, Ayu Ukhti (2020) Pemodelan Faktor-Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Persentase Wanita Aktif KB di Provinsi Jawa Tengah Menggunakan Regresi Nonparametrik Spine Truncated. Undergraduate thesis, Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember.

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Abstract

Program KB merupakan upaya pemerintah untuk mengendalikan fertilitas di Indonesia. Saat ini program KB dikelola oleh BKKBN. Pada tahun 2017, persentase wanita aktif KB di Provinsi Jawa Tengah sebesar 57,73%. Penelitian ini dilakukan untuk memodelkan faktor-faktor yang diduga mempengaruhi persentase wanita aktif KB di Provinsi Jawa Tengah menggunakan metode regresi nonparametrik spline truncated. Metode ini dipilih karena empat variabel prediktor yang diduga berpengaruh memiliki perubahan pola data pada sub-sub interval tertentu. Berdasarkan nilai GCV yang paling minimum, model terbaik adalah menggunakan tiga titik knot (3,3,3,3) dengan unit observasi sebanyak 35 kabupaten/kota di Provinsi Jawa Tengah. Hasil pengujian signifikansi parameter menunjukkan bahwa seluruh variabel yang digunakan dalam penelitian berpengaruh signifikan terhadap persentase wanita aktif KB di Jawa Tengah. Variabel yang digunakan adalah persentase wanita bekerja, persentase wanita usia perkawinan pertama > 17 tahun, jumlah klinik KB, dan jumlah PPKBD. Hasil pengujian asumsi residual menunjukkan semua asumsi terpenuhi dengan nilai koefisien determinasi dari model ini sama dengan 95,24%. ================================================================================================= The family planning is a goverment program to control fertility in Indonesia. The family planning is managed by the National Family Planning Coordinating Agency. In 2017, the percentage of women active in family planning 57,73%. This research was conducted to determine the factors that are suspected to percentage of women active in family planning in Central Java using Nonparametric Spline Truncated Regression. Because the pattern of data factors that are suspected to percentage of women active in family planning do not follow certain data patterns and the pattern changes at certain sub-intervals. Based on the minimum GCV values, the best model with a combination of knots (3,3,3,3) with 35 observations. The results of significance testing parameters indicate that all variables used have a significant effect on the percentage of women active in family planning in Central Java. The variables used are the percentage of working women, percentage of women first marriage >17 years, the number of family planning clinics, and the number of PPKBD. The results of testing residual assumptions indicate all assumptions are met with the coefficient of determination of this model equal to 95,24%.

Item Type: Thesis (Undergraduate)
Additional Information: RSSt 519.536 Muf p-1 • Mufidah, Ayu Ukhti
Uncontrolled Keywords: Kata Kunci : GCV, Jawa Tengah, KB, Regresi Nonparametrik Spline Truncated, Titik Knot Keywords: Central Java, Family Planning, GCV, Knot Points, Nonparametric Spline Truncated Regression
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HA Statistics > HA31.3 Regression. Correlation
Divisions: Faculty of Mathematics, Computation, and Data Science > Statistics > 49201-(S1) Undergraduate Thesis
Depositing User: Ayu Ukhti Mufidah
Date Deposited: 26 Aug 2020 23:41
Last Modified: 07 Oct 2020 00:27
URI: https://repository.its.ac.id/id/eprint/81307

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