Pemodelan PDRB DKI Jakarta dan Bodetabek dengan Pendekatan Ekonometrika Spasial Durbin Data Panel

Theresia, Winda (2024) Pemodelan PDRB DKI Jakarta dan Bodetabek dengan Pendekatan Ekonometrika Spasial Durbin Data Panel. Other thesis, Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember.

Text 5003201155-Undergraduate_Thesis.pdf - Accepted Version Restricted to Repository staff only until 1 October 2026. Download (3MB) | Request a copy

Abstract

Peningkatan aktivitas dan mobilitas masyarakat DKI Jakarta yang semakin hari semakin membaik menjadi pendorong utama pertumbuhan ekonomi di DKI Jakarta. Aktivitas para pekerja yang sering kali lintas kabupaten atau kota membuktikan bahwa perekonomian DKI Jakarta tidak hanya ditopang oleh tenaga kerja yang berstatus penduduk DKI Jakarta saja melainkan juga berasal dari daerah sekitar DKI Jakarta. Hal tersebut menyatakan bahwa adanya keterkaitan suatu daerah dengan daerah lainnya khususnya dalam hal perekonomian. Pada penelitian ini, dilakukan pemodelan PDRB DKI Jakarta dan Bodetabek dengan pendekatan ekonometrika spasial durbin data panel yang mana dilakukan spatial lag pada variabel independen. Dalam penelitian ini, variabel dependen ialah PDRB ADHK dan variabel independen yang terdiri dari Jumlah Tenaga Kerja, Penanaman Modal Dalam Negeri (PMDN), Penanaman Modal Asing (PMA), Investasi yang merupakan penjumlahan dari PMDN dan PMA serta variabel Rata-Rata Lama Sekolah. Penelitian ini mempertimbangkan adanya depedensi spasial antar kabupaten atau kota menggunakan data panel. Model terbaik yang didapatkan adalah Spatial Durbin Model Fixed Effect (SDM-FE) dengan variabel yang signifikan yaitu jumlah tenaga kerja, investasi, dan rata-rata lama sekolah dengan R^2 sebesar 73%. Model tersebut menggambarkan bahwa PDRB di wilayah yang diamati dipengaruhi oleh kasus yang sama di wilayah yang berdekatan (tetangga).
=========================================================================================================
The increasing activity and mobility of the people of DKI Jakarta, which is getting better day by day, is the main driver of economic growth in DKI Jakarta. The activities of workers who often cross districts or cities prove that the economy of DKI Jakarta is not only supported by workers who are residents of DKI Jakarta but also come from areas around DKI Jakarta. This states that there is a connection between a region and other regions, especially in terms of the economy. In this research, the GRDP modeling of DKI Jakarta and Bodetabek was carried out using a spatial econometric approach using panel data in which a spatial lag was applied to the independent variables. In this research, the dependent variable is PDRB ADHK and the independent variable consists of Number of Workers, Domestic Investment (PMDN), Foreign Investment (PMA), Investment which is the sum of PMDN and PMA and the Average Years of Schooling variable. This research considers the existence of spatial dependencies between districts or cities using panel data. The best model obtained is the Spatial Durbin Fixed Effect Model (SDM-FE) with significant variables, namely the number of workers, investment, and average years of schooling with an R^2 of 73%. The model illustrates that GRDP in the observed area is influenced by the same cases in adjacent (neighboring) areas.

Item Type:	Thesis (Other)
Uncontrolled Keywords:	Analisis Spasial, Data Panel, Spatial Durbin Model, Maximum Likelihood, PDRB, Spatial Analysis, Panel Data, Spatial Durbin Model, Maximum Likelihood, GRDP.
Subjects:	Q Science > QA Mathematics > QA278.2 Regression Analysis. Logistic regression
Divisions:	Faculty of Science and Data Analytics (SCIENTICS) > Statistics > 49201-(S1) Undergraduate Thesis
Depositing User:	Winda Theresia
Date Deposited:	09 Aug 2024 06:38
Last Modified:	09 Aug 2024 06:38
URI:	http://repository.its.ac.id/id/eprint/114216

Actions (login required)

View Item