Analisis Probabilitas Perpindahan Moda Penggunaan Kendaraan Pribadi (Sepeda Motor dan Mobil) Ke Kereta Api Commuter Surabaya Sidoarjo

Soimun, Ahmad (2018) Analisis Probabilitas Perpindahan Moda Penggunaan Kendaraan Pribadi (Sepeda Motor dan Mobil) Ke Kereta Api Commuter Surabaya Sidoarjo. Masters thesis, Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember.

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Abstract

Surabaya adalah kota metropolitan dan Ibukota Propinsi Jawa Timur, sangatlah wajar bila Sidoarjo sebagai kota terdekat dari Surabaya melakukan pergerakan commuter. Salah satu angkutan penumpang untuk pergerakan commuter tersebut adalah kereta api commuter Surabaya Sidoarjo. Namun demikian tiga tahun terakhir minat penumpangnya menurun oleh sebab itu dilakukanlah analisis kinerja dan kepuasan kereta api commuter Surabaya Sidoarjo. Metode yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini meliputi penyebaran kuisoner, wawancara dan teknik stated preference. Dalam penelitian ini dilakukan beberapa skenario analisis regresi logistik biner untuk menganalisa perpindahan moda dari kendaraan pribadi ke kereta api commuter Surabaya Sidoarjo. Parameter kinerja kereta api commuter adalah faktor muat (load factor), kecepatan perjalanan, waktu antara (headway), waktu pelayanan, dan jumlah kendaraan yang beroperasi. Analisa kepuasan menggunakan metode IPA (Importance Performance Analysis) dan CSI (Customer Satisfaction Indeks). Hasil dari analisa terdapat beberapa faktor yang menjadi prioritas untuk perbaikan kereta api commuter, diantaranya fisik kereta api commuter sudah waktunya diperbaiki dengan armada baru, sirkulasi udara harus diperbaiki dengan penambahan AC, untuk kesigapan dari petugas atau kondektur kereta api sangat baik sehingga perlu dipertahankan. Probabilitas pengguna kendaraan pribadi sepeda motor yang mau berpindah dengan moda transportasi kereta api commuter sangat dipengaruhi variabel : jenis kelamin laki-laki dan Pendapatan Rp 6.000.000,. Probabilitas perpindahan moda sepeda motor adalah 61.25%. Probabilitas kemauan membayar harga tiket Rp 5.000, adalah 61.25 % dan Probabilitas kemauan membayar Rp 6.000, adalah 38.89%. Probabilitas perpindahan moda kendaraan pribadi mobil ke kereta api commuter variabel maksud perjalanan bekerja dan Biaya Perjalanan Rp 50.000,. Probabilitas pengguna kendaraan pribadi mobil yang mau berpindah sebanyak 50.65%. Probabilitas kemauan membayar harga tiket Rp 5.000, adalah 49.8% dan Probabilitas kemauan membayar harga tiket Rp 6.000, adalah 46.75%. =============== Surabaya is a metropolitan city and the capital of East Java province, it is very reasonable if Sidoarjo as the closest city from Surabaya to commuter movement. One of the passenger transport for the commuter movement is the commuter train Surabaya Sidoarjo. Nevertheless, in the last three years the passenger interest has decreased, therefore the performance analysis and commuter train satisfaction of Surabaya Sidoarjo were conducted. The methods used in this study include spreading questionnaire, interview and technique stated preference. This research is done some scenario of binary logistic regression analysis to analyze the movement of modes from private vehicles to commuter trains Surabaya Sidoarjo. The methods used in this study include spreading questionnaire, interview and stated preference technique. This research conducts some scenario of binary logistic regression analysis to analyze the movement of modes from private vehicles to commuter trains Surabaya Sidoarjo. The parameters of commuter railway performance are load factor, travel speed, headway, service time and number of operating vehicles. The satisfaction analysis is using the method of IPA (Importance Performance Analysis) and CSI (Customer Satisfaction Index). The analysis results several priority factors for the improvement of commuter trains, including the physical commuter train that need to be repaired with a new fleet, air circulation should be repaired with the addition of air conditioning, the alertness of the officer or train conductor is so good that it needs to be maintained. The probability of private motorcycle users who want to move with commuter rail transportation modes is strongly influenced by variables: male gender and Revenue Rp 6.000.000 ,. The probability of motorcycle mode transfer is 61.25%. Probability of willingness to pay ticket price Rp 5,000, is 61.25% and Prospects willingness to pay Rp 6,000, is 38.89%. Probability of migration of private car vehicle modes to commuter trains mean travel variables and Travel Cost Rp 50.000 ,. Probability of private car users who want to move as much as 50.65%. Probability of willingness to pay ticket price Rp 5,000, is 49.8% and Probability of willingness to pay ticket price Rp 6.000, is 46.75%.

Item Type: Thesis (Masters)
Uncontrolled Keywords: Kereta api Commuter; Surabaya Sidoarjo; Kepuasan; Harapan; Kinerja; Probabilitas; Stated Preference; Regresi Logistik; Commuter Train; Satisfaction; Expectation; Performance; Probability Stated Preference; Logistic Regression
Subjects: Q Science > QA Mathematics > QA278.2 Regression Analysis
T Technology > TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
T Technology > TF Railroad engineering and operation
Divisions: Faculty of Civil Engineering and Planning > Civil Engineering > (S2) Master Theses
Depositing User: AHMAD SOIMUN
Date Deposited: 04 Apr 2018 04:32
Last Modified: 04 Apr 2018 04:32
URI: http://repository.its.ac.id/id/eprint/50565

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