Persepsi Pemilih Pemula terhadap Keputusan Memilih Calon Presiden pada Pemilu 2024 di Jawa Timur Menggunakan Structural Equation Modelling Partial Least Square (SEM-PLS)

Waahidah, Yanuari Rizqii (2023) Persepsi Pemilih Pemula terhadap Keputusan Memilih Calon Presiden pada Pemilu 2024 di Jawa Timur Menggunakan Structural Equation Modelling Partial Least Square (SEM-PLS). Other thesis, Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember.

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Abstract

Indonesia adalah negara dengan sistem pemerintahan demokrasi yang dimana warga negara memiliki hak untuk ikut serta dalam pengawasan jalannya pemerintahan. Tiap pemilu pasti terdapat pemilih pemula yang baru pertama kali mengikuti atau memiliki hak pilih. Pemilih pemula adalah orang yang memiliki hak dalam pemberian suara di ajang pemilihan umum dengan rentang usia antara 17 sampai 21 tahun dan atau belum pernah melakukan pemilihan dalam pemilu sebelumnya. Menurut komisioner KPU, yakni Viryan Aziz “Untuk data pemilih pemula di Indonesia jumlahnya mencapai 1.262.878 jiwa, Dan Jawa Barat memiliki jumlah pemilih pemula terbanyak sejumlah 212.749 jiwa, disusul oleh Jawa Timur sejumlah 174.558 jiwa, dan juga Jawa Tengah sejumlah 154.188 jiwa”. Sehingga perlu dilakukan analisis tentang persepsi pemilih pemula terhadap keputusan memilih calon presiden pada Pemilu 2024 di Jawa Timur. Pada penelitian ini variabel yang digunakan adalah persepsi latar belakang pendidikan calon presiden, persepsi pengalaman pekerjaan calon presiden, persepsi citra sosial calon presiden, persepsi reputasi di bidang politik calon presiden, terhadap keputusan memilih calon presiden pada Pemilu 2024 di Jawa Timur. Variabel tersebut tidak dapat diukur secara langsung atau merupakan variabel laten sehingga digunakan metode Structural Equations Modelling. Data yang akan diperoleh dari survei hanya sedikit dan data tidak berdistribusi normal yang artinya tidak memenuhi asumsi-asumsi yang digunakan dalam SEM berbasis kovarian sehingga metode yang digunakan adalah Structural Equations Modelling Partial Least Square (SEM-PLS). Hasil penelitian ini menjelaskan bahwa terdapat pengaruh langsung dari variabel latar belakang pendidikan calon presiden terhadap keputusan memilih calon presiden, pengalaman pekerjaan calon presiden terhadap keputusan memilih calon presiden, citra sosial calon presiden terhadap keputusan memilih calon presiden, reputasi di bidang politik calon presiden terhadap keputusan memilih calon presiden. Pada variabel latar belakang pendidikan calon presiden dan reputasi di bidang politik memiliki distribusi yang cenderung condong ke kanan yang berarti cenderung penting dalam keputusan memilih calon presiden. Pada variabel pengalaman pekerjaan dan citra capres memiliki distribusi yang cenderung seragam. Pada variabel citra capres cenderung seragam pada yang mengganggap penting, sedangkan pada variabel pengalaman pekerjaan cenderung seragam pada yang mengganggap netral.
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Indonesia is a country with a democratic government system in which citizens have the right to participate in supervising the running of government. In every election, there must be novice voters who are taking part in it for the first time or have the right to vote. Beginner voters are people who have the right to vote in general elections with an age range between 17 to 21 years and or have never voted in a previous election. According to KPU commissioner, Viryan Aziz "For data on first-time voters in Indonesia, the number reached 1,262,878 people, and West Java had the highest number of first-time voters with 212,749 people, followed by East Java with 174,558 people, and also Central Java with 154,188 people." So it is necessary to do an analysis of the perceptions of first-time voters on the decision to vote for a presidential candidate in the 2024 elections in East Java. In this study, the variables used were perceptions of the presidential candidate's educational background, perceptions of the presidential candidate's work experience, perceptions of the presidential candidate's social image, perceptions of political reputation of the presidential candidate, on the decision to elect a presidential candidate in the 2024 election in East Java. These variables cannot be measured directly or are latent variables, so the Structural Equations Modeling method is used. Only a few data will be obtained from the survey and the data is not normally distributed, which means it does not meet the assumptions used in covariance-based SEM, so the method used is Structural Equations Modeling Partial Least Square (SEM-PLS). The results of this study explain that there is a direct influence of the presidential candidate's educational background variable on the decision to elect a presidential candidate, the presidential candidate's work experience on the decision to elect a presidential candidate, the presidential candidate's social image on the decision to elect a presidential candidate, the presidential candidate's political reputation on the decision to vote. presidential candidate. The presidential candidate's educational background and political reputation variables have a distribution that tends to lean to the right, which means they tend to be important in the decision to choose a presidential candidate. On the job experience variable and the presidential candidate's image, the distribution tends to be uniform. The candidate image variable tends to be uniform for those who consider it important, while for the job experience variable it tends to be uniform for those who consider it neutral.

Item Type:	Thesis (Other)
Uncontrolled Keywords:	Keputusan Memilih, Pemilih Pemula, Pemilu, SEM-PLS, Elections, Novice Voters, Voting Decision
Subjects:	H Social Sciences > HA Statistics H Social Sciences > HA Statistics > HA29 Theory and method of social science statistics J Political Science > JA Political science (General) J Political Science > JF Political institutions (General) J Political Science > JQ Political institutions Asia
Divisions:	Faculty of Science and Data Analytics (SCIENTICS) > Statistics > 49201-(S1) Undergraduate Thesis
Depositing User:	Yanuari Rizqii Waahidah
Date Deposited:	06 Sep 2023 01:46
Last Modified:	06 Sep 2023 01:46
URI:	http://repository.its.ac.id/id/eprint/104444

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