Strategi Adaptasi Terhadap Dampak Perubahan Iklim Pada Pengelolaan Transmisi Tenaga Listrik di Wilayah Kerja PT PLN (Persero) ULTG Petukangan

Suyanto, Hangger Indiar (2025) Strategi Adaptasi Terhadap Dampak Perubahan Iklim Pada Pengelolaan Transmisi Tenaga Listrik di Wilayah Kerja PT PLN (Persero) ULTG Petukangan. Masters thesis, Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember.

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Abstract

Fenomena perubahan iklim telah berkembang menjadi permasalahan yang memberikan dampak terhadap berbagai aspek kehidupan, termasuk sektor energi. Perubahan pola curah hujan dan tata guna lahan berpotensi meningkatkan risiko bencana alam, seperti banjir. PT PLN (Persero) ULTG Petukangan bertugas menyalurkan tenaga listrik di wilayah Jakarta Selatan, Tangerang Selatan dan Depok dimana wilayah tersebut sangat rawan terhadap banjir. Penelitian ini bertujuan memproyeksikan banjir di masa depan yang dapat menimbulkan kerusakan di instalasi PLN seperti Gardu Induk, Saluran Udara Tegangan Tinggi (SUTT) dan Saluran Kabel Tegangan Tinggi (SKTT) serta strategi adaptasi terbaik. Proyeksi disimulasikan menggunakan NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections – Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 dengan skenario SSP (Shared Socioeconomic Pathways) 2.4-5 tahun 2049 & 2062, sedangkan unuk skenario SSP 5-8.5 tahun 2038 & 2065 dan tata guna lahan tahun 2025. Berdasarkan hasil proyeksi banjir, aset PT PLN (Persero) ULTG Petukangan yang berisiko tinggi terhadap banjir sesuai skenario SSP 2-4.5 tahun 2049 yaitu 5 tower SUTT dan 1 joint pit SKTT, dan untuk skenario SSP 5-8.5 tahun 2038 yaitu 3 GIS, 55 tower SUTT dan 82 joint pit SKTT. Potensi kerugian yang dialami PT PLN (Persero) akibat gangguan yang disebabkan oleh banjir dengan menghitung Energy Not Served (ENS) yaitu 18.349 kWh dalam 1 jam, kerugian ekonomi lokal (Business Cost) akibat pemadaman listrik mencapai Rp. 1,752 miliar/hari dan potensi emisi Gas Rumah Kaca (GRK) saat pembangkit melakukan asut gelap (blackstart) yaitu 112.972 ton CO2. Penentuan opsi strategi adaptasi terbaik menggunakan metode Marginal Abatement Cost Curve (MACC) dibagi menjadi 3, yaitu opsi strategi adaptasi SUTT terhadap banjir, opsi strategi adaptasi SKTT terhadap banjir, dan opsi strategi adaptasi GIS terhadap banjir. Strategi adaptasi terbaik dengan metode Marginal Abatement Cost Curve (MACC) terhadap banjir untuk SUTT yaitu, strategi SOP & pelatihan tanggap darurat. Strategi adaptasi terbaik untuk SKTT yaitu, strategi monitoring kelembaban & intrusi air. Dari analisis kurva biaya marginal adaptasi banjir untuk GIS, strategi sistem pompa otomatis dan drainase internal GIS merupakan strategi dengan efisiensi biaya tertinggi.
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The phenomenon of climate change has evolved into a problem that impacts various aspects of life, including the energy sector. Changes in rainfall patterns and land use have the potential to increase the risk of natural disasters, such as floods. PT PLN (Persero) ULTG Petukangan is tasked with distributing electricity in the regions of South Jakarta, South Tangerang, and Depok, which are highly prone to flooding. This study aims to project future floods that could cause damage to PLN installations such as substations, Saluran Udara Tegangan Tinggi (SUTT), and Saluran Kabel Tegangan Tinggi (SKTT) as well as the best adaptation strategies. The projections are simulated using NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections - Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 with SSP (Shared Socioeconomic Pathways) scenarios 2.4-5 for the years 2049 & 2062, while for SSP 5-8.5 scenarios for the years 2038 & 2065 and Land Use for the year 2025. Based on flood projection results, PT PLN (Persero) ULTG Petukangan's assets at high risk of flooding according to the SSP 2-4.5 scenario by 2049 include 5 SUTT towers and 1 SKTT joint pit, and for the SSP 5-8.5 scenario by 2038, there are 3 GIS, 55 SUTT towers, and 82 SKTT joint pit. The potential losses incurred by PT PLN (Persero) due to disruptions caused by flooding, calculated based on Energy Not Served (ENS), amount to 18,349 kWh in 1 hour, with local economic losses (Business Cost) due to power outages reaching IDR 1.752 billion/day, and potential GHG emissions during the plant's blackstart amounting to 112,972 tons of CO2. Determining the best adaptation strategy options using the Marginal Abatement Cost Curve (MACC) method is divided into 3, namely the SUTT adaptation strategy options for flooding, the SKTT adaptation strategy options for flooding, and the GIS adaptation strategy options for flooding. The best adaptation strategy using the marginal abatement cost curve (MACC) method for flooding in SUTT is the SOP & emergency response training strategy. The best adaptation strategy for SKTT is the humidity monitoring & water intrusion strategy. From the analysis of the marginal cost curve for flood adaptation for GIS, the automatic pump system and internal GIS drainage strategies are the ones with the highest cost efficiency.

Item Type:	Thesis (Masters)
Uncontrolled Keywords:	perubahan iklim, adaptasi, transmisi tenaga listrik, PT PLN (Persero) ULTG Petukangan. climate change, adaptation, electricity transmission, PT PLN (Persero) ULTG Petukangan
Subjects:	G Geography. Anthropology. Recreation > GE Environmental Sciences
Divisions:	Faculty of Civil, Planning, and Geo Engineering (CIVPLAN) > Environmental Engineering > 25101-(S2) Master Thesis
Depositing User:	Hangger Indiar Suyanto
Date Deposited:	24 Jul 2025 03:03
Last Modified:	24 Jul 2025 03:03
URI:	http://repository.its.ac.id/id/eprint/120799

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