Nurdianto, Eko (2025) Studi Prediktif Keberhasilan Bisnis Sovereign Wealth Fund Danantara Melalui Restrukturisasi Organisasi Berbasis Persepsi Publik: Pendekatan Struktural Dan Simulasi Dinamik. Masters thesis, Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember.
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Abstract
Pembentukan Sovereign Wealth Fund (SWF) Danantara merupakan kebijakan strategis pemerintah Indonesia untuk mengonsolidasikan aset BUMN dan meningkatkan keberhasilan bisnis jangka panjang melalui restrukturisasi organisasi yang komprehensif, namun keberhasilan kebijakan ini tidak hanya ditentukan oleh desain internal organisasi, tetapi juga oleh persepsi publik sebagai pemangku kepentingan eksternal. Meskipun penelitian terdahulu telah mengkaji restrukturisasi organisasi pada aspek struktur, proses bisnis, portofolio, dan keuangan, masih terdapat keterbatasan kajian yang secara spesifik menggunakan persepsi publik sebagai basis prediktif untuk menilai keberhasilan bisnis SWF, khususnya dalam konteks Danantara di Indonesia. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk memprediksi keberhasilan bisnis Danantara melalui restrukturisasi organisasi berbasis persepsi publik dalam satu model empiris yang terintegrasi. Penelitian ini menggunakan pendekatan kuantitatif prediktif dengan survei terhadap 100 responden yang merupakan masyarakat terinformasi dan konsumen BUMN, dianalisis menggunakan Structural Equation Modeling–Partial Least Squares (SEM-PLS) high-order construct karena sifat model yang kompleks dan berorientasi prediksi, serta dilanjutkan dengan Simulasi Dinamik Sistem untuk memodelkan dampak jangka panjang restrukturisasi. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa dimensi restrukturisasi organisasi berpengaruh signifikan terhadap keberhasilan bisnis Danantara dengan nilai koefisien jalur yang signifikan dan kemampuan penjelasan model yang kuat (R²), sementara simulasi dinamik mengindikasikan adanya time lag dan feedback loop antara kebijakan restrukturisasi dan kinerja bisnis jangka panjang
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Organizational The establishment of Danantara as Indonesia’s Sovereign Wealth Fund (SWF) represents a strategic government initiative aimed at consolidating state-owned enterprise assets and enhancing long-term business success through comprehensive organizational restructuring; however, the effectiveness of this policy is influenced not only by internal organizational design but also by public perception as an external stakeholder. Although prior studies have examined organizational restructuring in terms of organizational structure, business processes, portfolio, and financial transformation, empirical research that specifically employs public perception as a predictive basis for assessing the business success of a sovereign wealth fund, particularly Danantara, remains limited. This study aims to predict Danantara’s business success through organizational restructuring based on public perception within an integrated empirical model. Using a quantitative predictive approach, this study analyzes survey data collected from 100 informed respondents, primarily consumers of stateowned enterprises, employing Structural Equation Modeling–Partial Least Squares (SEM-PLS) with a high-order construct, selected due to the complexity of the model and its predictive orientation, and subsequently applies System Dynamics Simulation to examine long-term policy impacts. The results indicate that organizational restructuring dimensions significantly influence Danantara’s business success, with significant path coefficients and substantial explanatory power (R²), while the system dynamics simulation reveals the presence of time lags and feedback loops between restructuring policies and long-term business performance.
| Item Type: | Thesis (Masters) |
|---|---|
| Uncontrolled Keywords: | Sovereign Wealth Fund; Organizational Restructuring; Public Perception; Business Success; SEM-PLS |
| Subjects: | H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory > HB615 Entrepreneurship. |
| Divisions: | Faculty of Creative Design and Digital Business (CREABIZ) > Business Management > (S2) Master Thesis |
| Depositing User: | Nurdianto Eko |
| Date Deposited: | 28 Jan 2026 02:39 |
| Last Modified: | 28 Jan 2026 02:39 |
| URI: | http://repository.its.ac.id/id/eprint/130691 |
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